Sunday, December 13, 2009

Many things went wrong yesterday

Let's see...

*Got zeeboed on a three-handed table on a four-flush board when I rivered a full house (reverse 2-outer)
*Flopped a full house in a three bet pot, three way all in, got two outered for 300bb
*Ran into the top of every lag maniac's range when I 3 bet them pre
*Every time I check-raised a short stack with top pair or overs, they had a flopped set
*Otherwise, missed 90% of flops entirely; flopped a set once and got action for one whole street
*Dogs and cats, living together, mass hysteria
*Ran $350 below EV over 1,870 hands, -34.5bb/100 over all

Oh well.

I guess I'm still rolled for multi-table tourneys. If I bink any of those deep I'll let y'all know. Otherwise, this fish will be back at the tables with his X-mas monies some time in January. gl all!

Edit: so far, go good



Edit: so far, so better. Have I been wasting my life playing cash??


Edit: Drat, 55th place after villain binked a disguised str8 on the river after calling two streets of PSBs and I put him on an underpair to the flop. FML

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Gambling and hitting gin


Bombay Sapphire to be precise.

I don't gamble too often. I play NLHE drunk, or tired, or my reads (usually as a result of the aforementioned deprivations of my senses) are completely wrong and I spew like a maniac. But sometimes I'll play against the odds and I seem to get there a lot more than I should...


PokerStars, $0.25/0.50 NO Limit Texas Holdem Cash Games, 9 Players

Board:
UTG: $50.75
UTG+1: $70.55
CO: $24.25
Button: $51.95
SB/Conan776: $50.25
BB: $42.75
MP1: $56.15
MP2: $30
MP4: $56.10

Dealt to: SB

Pre-flop:
(1 folds)
MP2 calls $.50
MP4 raises to $2
(4 folds)
SB/Conan776 calls $1.75
(1 folds)
MP2 calls $1.50
Flop:($6.50) (3 Players)

SB/Conan776 bets $4
MP2 calls $4
MP4 raises to $12.50

Here I called a 3x raise on the flop with the nut inside straight draw, and it's completely mathematically incorrect... maybe if we were a lot deeper and both villains were maniacs it would be OK. But I was kind of suspicious Middle Position #4 was making a play with an Ax hand (drawing to a deuce for the wheel), rather than trying to take the pot down with an over pair, so I can just take it away on the turn regardless if my donk bet/smooth call looks strong enough...

Ah, sorry, that's the gin talking. What I meant to say was gamboooL!!!!!

SB/Conan776 calls $8.50
MP2 calls $8.50
Turn: ($44) (3 Players)

SB/Conan776 checks

And then on the turn I hit the other kind of gin. My check was kinda bad, but I had a good feeling he'd fire another bullet. And fire he did....

MP2 checks
MP4 bets $41.60 and is all-in




SB instacalls $35.75 and is all-in
(1 folds)

Of course, common courtesy demands a quick call, but it's nice to be able to use the PT3 hand replayer to go back and savor the moment.

The following video is Not Safe For Work!


Snoop Doggy Dogg - Gin and Juice (Director's Cut)

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Biggest winning day in online poker history

... by Mr. Brian Hastings, coming in at $4.8 million! From his blog:
When everyone starts playing poker, the dream is that one day they will hit it big and make obscene amounts of money that one couldn't fathom working a 9-5 (well most 9-5s).  But for most, this is just a pipe dream.  For it to happen, one needs a combination of very large amounts of both skill and luck (well maybe not always the skill part for a few certain WSOP main event winners/high finishers, but they need an astronomical amount of luck).  And here I am, winning a record $4.18 million in one day... playing online poker.
more

His winnings were taken off Isildur, who ran $3 million below EV for their session of Pot Limit Omaha.

Golly... I'm not gonna complain about my blue line for a while!

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

I should take breaks more often

Take a week off from cash and come back to running like this. :-)

Has Tiger Woods screwed up Vegas?

From Chaos In Tigerland: A Deadspin Investigation Into The Sexual Habits Of Pro Athletes
Athletes have utilized the VIP service to engage in their affairs (and meet possible mistresses) for the sake of (supposed) privacy, philandering without the hassle of having to do any work themselves to land these women. It's a dirty business all around. But what to do now, since Tiger has gone and messed it up for a bunch of people who were pretty safe from prying eyes and camera lenses whenever they stepped out on their wives and girlfriends during Vegas weekends?
 Oh, OK: just for athletes. Whew!

There's no business like ho business...

tl;dr

Average American Consumes 34 Gigabytes Daily

According to the NYT, a new report (PDF) from U. Cal San Diego says the amount of information we see or hear each day has quadrupled since 1980. We see or hear (though not necessarily fully process) about 100,000 words a day


Tuesday, December 8, 2009

You were an adequate opponent

Anyone else remember Sega's Space Fury?

The next time some bad reg calls me a fish after I take all their maney, I think I'm going to use its villain, the Alien Commander's famous line:


I imagine it could be adequately tilting.


Classic Game Room HD - SPACE FURY for ColecoVision review

Friday, December 4, 2009

Speaking of flipping

(flipping) Tom Stoppard's Rosencrantz & Guildenstern Are Dead is an excellent movie.

part 1
part 2
part 3
part 4
part 5
part 6
part 7
part 8


It must be indicative of something besides the redistribution of wealth*

Soft like butter

Since I, in drunken righteous anger, gave myself a week's timeout on Stars last Friday (heh) I've been futzing around with my small roll over on Full Tilt.

Playing SnG's and small stakes tourney's. ez games, imo.

Couldn't seal the deal on this one...



But this one was autopilot...

This is an automated message sent from Full Tilt Poker.


Full Tilt Poker Tournament #122634799 $10 + $1 Sit & Go NL Hold'em
Buy-In: $10.00 + $1.00
18 players 
Total Prize Pool: $180.00
Start Date: December 4  9:35 PM ET


Dear conan776,


You finished the tournament in 1st place.
There has been $72.00 added to your account.


You have earned leaderboard points for this tournament. 
To view your current leaderboard points use the My Promotions button in the Cashier window.


Congratulations!
Thank you for participating.
Time to go back to tourneys?

Saturday, November 28, 2009

The world ends tomorrow

AND YOU MAY DIE!!!

I've been waiting months to use that SubGenius line, but it wasn't to be.



Friday, November 27, 2009

Not tilting causes heart attacks??

Speak up: study shows stifling anger at work can kill
SINGAPORE, Nov 24 (Reuters Life!) - Men who bottle up their anger at being unfairly treated at work are up to five times more likely to suffer a heart attack, or even die from one, than those who let their frustration show, a Swedish study has found.

The study by the Stress Research Institute of Stockholm University followed 2,755 employed men who had not suffered any heart attacks from 1992 to 2003.

At the end of the study, 47 participants had either suffered an attack, or died from heart disease, and many of those had been found to be "covertly coping" with unfair treatment at work.
more


I've always thought it was the just opposite, and often wondered how it was Mike the Mouth was still with us....

Thursday, November 26, 2009

You can get anything you want at Alice's Restaurant

1967's Alice's Restaurant Massacree is a traditional holiday song for my family as I'm sure it is for many others.
Alice's Restaurant - Arlo Guthrie

We'll be giving thanks tomorrow and, among other things, celebrating 37 years of Americans being free of the Draft.

Hope y'all have a Thanksgiving dinner that can't be beat.


Updated 10/2011: Here it is on Spotify:

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Weeeeeeeeee!

Just won the biggest pot I've won in a long, long time. Of course, I totally luckboxed it. I tried a little too late to press matters, and as such couldn't push the better flush draw off his hand or fold out the guy holding bottom set, so runner runner backdoor straight it is! (In my defense, having the long shot straight draws did feed slightly into my calculus.*) In the words of the man I named my cat Houdini after: weeeeeeeeeeeeeee!

PokerStars, $0.25/0.50 NO Limit Texas Holdem Cash Games, 7 Players

Board:
UTG: $41.50
UTG+1: $86.20
CO: $57
Button: $63.65
SB: $105.30
BB: $50
MP1: $33.60

Dealt to: SB

Pre-flop:
MP1 raises to $1, (2 folds), CO calls $1, Button raises to $2, SB calls $1.75, (1 folds), MP1 calls $1, CO calls $1,
Flop:($8.50) (4 Players)

SB checks, MP1 bets $2, CO calls $2, Button raises to $9.50, SB calls $9.50, MP1 calls $7.50, CO raises to $27.50, Button calls $18, SB raises to $103.30 and is all-in, (1 folds), CO calls $27.50 and is all-in, Button calls $34.15 and is all-in, SB returns $41.65,
Turn: ($207.80) (3 Players)

River: ($207.80) (3 Players)

Results:
SB Showed

Button Showed

SB wins $13.30
CO Showed

SB wins $180

*Then again, I got straight C's in calculus, and that was by the skin of my teeth, much the same way I won this hand....

Do you Flip?

Harvard Station's latest en masse ad campaign for the Fliptm video recorder isn't tilting me yet, but I'm going to be on my way to work one of these mornings having lost a dozen flips the night before and then it certainly will.



It's almost subliminal, all these happy people flipping...


Monday, November 23, 2009

Value-shoving FTW!

I was sure I was going win at least $300 on Sunday, but no such luck. That last 400 hand session was a doozy, but I like how the line goes almost straight up at the end. I donked around enough on the tables that I was able to value shove and get looked up very light in a couple nice spots. I guess that's one way to book the win!

Sunday, November 22, 2009

Happiness: Therapy >> Money

ScienceDaily (Nov. 21, 2009) — Research by the University of Warwick and the University of Manchester finds that psychological therapy could be 32 times more cost effective at making you happy than simply obtaining more money. The research has obvious implications for large compensation awards in law courts but also has wider implications for general public health.

more

I dunno about that!

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Getting money in bad: thoughts on the blue line

Blogger "microstakes bankroll builder" had a post this week that got me thinking about the blue line which measures EV. He wrote, in part:
Anyone that whines about being unlucky has "loser" written all over them in my mind, and who probably persuades themselves eventually into seeing monsters under the bed, gorging on their bad-beat-jackpot stories and continuing their boring downward spiralling vicious circle and compounding their bad luck.

Lets just think about it for a second…….

Conversely, of course you can only run above EV when you consistently get your money in bad....makes sense no? getting your money in bad is baaaaad. Getting your money in good (ie at least 51%, but usually at least 68% upwards) means you can only be sucked out on. You can’t give the bad beat.
 (My bold). This seems contradictory: if we do worry constantly about "monsters under the bed" we'll never get our money in bad, and we'll never get it in good without the absolute nuts either.

In particular, the blue line doesn't take into account fold equity, our perceived range, and pots odds, all of which can be dubious theoretical puzzle pieces in the micros, but still important for playing the game correctly, regardless of whether we're actually getting our money in bad or not.

Two of my hands this week show these phenomenon in action.



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($95.90)
Button ($61.95)
SB ($30)
Hero (BB) ($50)
UTG ($52.90)
UTG+1 ($51.25)
MP1 ($50.50)
MP2 ($60.85)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6, A
2 folds, MP1 bets $1, 1 fold, CO calls $1, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.50

Sort of off to an odd beginning. Middle Position #1 just min raised my blind, and the Cut Off only calls. With a suited Ace and 50 cents already in the pot, I have to complete.

Flop: ($3.25) J, A, A (3 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets $2, CO calls $2, Hero calls $2

I flop trip aces, and decide to slow play.

Turn: ($9.25) 6 (3 players)

Yahtzee! I turn the second nuts, behind only an unlikely AJ (which would be the case Ace and second Jack in play). No point in slow playing, but I don't want to push out heart draws so I make a here-kitty-kitty bet of 1/3 the pot

Hero bets $3, MP1 raises to $7

This raise by MP1 is absolutely great news, and I immediately put him on JJ.

CO calls $7

This I don't like so much. Now I'm thinking CO has the case Ace, certainly with a better kicker than I have, but not a J -- again, I'm sure I know where three of those are.

Hero raises to $15

So now I have to build the pot against MP1's smaller FH and charge the Cut Off for his unlikely draw.

, MP1 calls $8, CO calls $8

Well, I couldn't push the CO out. He is a 33/9, and they do tend to be calling stations, so this isn't too unexpected. He definitely has Ax for some given x, I decide.

River: ($54.25) K (3 players)

Well, that's about the worst card in the deck. If CO has AK, I'm hosed. MP1 might decide I have AK and so I go for thin value (which should also look a lot like a missed flush draw, inducing a shove).

Hero bets $10, MP1 raises to $32.50 (All-In)

Good, good.

, CO raises to $55

Oh, #@@#%. So now what do I do?



I'm getting 5.85:1 on a call, and exactly two hands beat me, both involving that case Ace.

, Hero calls $22 (All-In)

Total pot: $151.25 | Rake: $3
Main pot: $150.25 between CO, Hero and MP1, won by CO
Side pot 1: $1 between CO and MP1, won by CO

Results below:
Hero had 6, A (full house, Aces over sixes).
MP1 had J, J (full house, Jacks over Aces).
CO had A, K (full house, Aces over Kings).
Outcome: CO won $148.25


Now, my blue line is sunk since I got $32 in "baaaad" but I don't think I played it bad. I could have shoved the turn, but with the near certainty of stacking MP1 anyway and letting CO draw to a mere 3-outer I feel my small 4-bet was absolutely the correct play.

So here's the second hand where I got my money in "baaaad" against a passive 37/4 calling station

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com


Hero (BB) ($59.40)
UTG ($110.25)
UTG+1 ($30.60)
MP1 ($50)
MP2 ($106.65)
MP3 ($40.35)
CO ($54)
Button ($56.80)
SB ($50.40)


Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A
UTG calls $0.50, UTG+1 calls $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 bets $2.50, 2 folds, SB calls $2.25, Hero raises to $12.50,




Pretty standard squeeze from the Big Blind with AK given the table dynamics.

2 folds, MP3 calls $10, 1 fold

One caller, the 37/4 loose passive in Middle Position #3.

Flop: ($28.50) Q, 10, 4 (2 players)

Pretty good flop for me against a loose passive player. If he has a middle pair I've got 10 outs twice, any Ace, King, or a Jack for the straight. And I have to continue bet, since my perceived range should include AA, KK and QQ, all of which are monsters to this board which I'd play the exact same way.

Hero bets $18, MP3 raises to $27.85 (All-In)

Well, that sucks. But now I've still got 60/40 drawing odds unless somehow he has QQ, TT, 44 or (blockers) JJ, and it only costs me ~$10 to call. (Since I have an A and a K and MP3 plays so many hands, I figure AA and KK to be unlikely.)

, Hero calls $9.85

It turns out villain had 88; I played the hand absolutely correctly, imo (not per Sklansky, but you know what I mean), even though I got every penny in "baaaad" and my blue EV line will tell me I'm just a luckbox when the turn and river come a K for top pair and an unneeded J for the straight.

Turn: ($84.20) K (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($84.20) J (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $84.20 | Rake: $3

Main pot: $84.20 between Hero and MP3, won by Hero




Smashing Pumpkins - Blew Away